On Solving the Governance Crisis
Game Theory and the Quest for a Collective Wisdom Orientation
“We are agents who alter the unfolding of the universe.”
― Stuart A. Kauffman
Many institutions are focused on solving global catastrophic risks. Their primary concerns are AI, biotech, and planetary ecology. Surprisingly, narrowly focusing on these problems is a distraction and error. To make meaningful progress, we must shift priorities.
Governance is not just one issue among many. It is the foundation. Until we address how decisions are made, who makes them, and how they are coordinated across complex systems, every "solution" remains fragile. The central issue should be governance. Only a handful of people are discussing the governance crisis and its role as the precursor to all apocalypse scenarios. It is the upstream failure that enables every downstream catastrophe.
Since the agricultural revolution, the human race has been in escalating conflict modes. In recent history, we have unlocked the technology to delete ourselves. Threats include catastrophe weapons, synthetic organisms, superintelligent LLMs, supercolliders, and autonomous drones. Indeed, persistent conflicts, driven by competition for resources, wealth, power, and ideology, have shaped societal structures and political sensemaking.
As we face increasingly complex challenges, from climate hazards and pandemics to superintelligent AI, the existing governance frameworks to manage these advancements prove inadequate at best and evil at worst.
The mechanisms designed to maintain social order and progress are now struggling to adapt, leading to a widening gap between our problems and our capacity to address them. This inability to enact collaborative governance constitutes the essence of the governance crisis.
Zero-Sum Geopolitical Configurations
The “governance crisis” now spirals into chaos and species-wide apoptosis. Israel and Iran are at war. Ukraine and Russia are at war. The US maintains proxy wars through both Israel and Ukraine, but it may enter the fray on the slightest provocation. The balance is fragile. The only reason that a World War III scenario has not unfolded is due to mutually assured destruction.
Humanity could not thoroughly destroy the planet in the past. With the advancement of technology, we have gained unimaginable destructive competency. Individual self-preservation on the upper echelons of power is the only thing preventing total war.
The problem is that governments are overly centralized, corruption-prone, and engaged in zero-sum dynamics. On a grand scale, geopolitics is akin to game theory playing out on the global stage. All national superpowers are stuck in these suicidal interaction loops.
For those unfamiliar with the term, a zero-sum game is a scenario with one winner and one loser. One's gain equals another's loss, resulting in a winner-take-all system. In such a scenario, cooperation becomes impossible; instead, individual players are incentivized to maximize their own gains at the expense of others. This dynamic often leads to competitive and adversarial exchanges, as seen in many geopolitical conflicts where nations vie for limited resources or influence.
Addressing Metacrisis:
Moloch or Sapien
The result of these zero-sum games is perpetual arms races, races to the bottom, and perverse feedback loops. These problems cause and exacerbate the “metacrisis,” or the confluence of global concerns that represent threat vectors and black swan eventualities.
As this metacrisis grows and accelerates, most people feel lost. They do not consider governance a problem because they see it as a consequence of human nature; thus, they see destructive human tendencies as “natural” and inevitable.
Others ignore the problem by focusing on symptoms and outcomes. For example, visionaries like Bryan Johnson think we must live forever to address AI risk, but this is not a solution. It is wishful thinking, a prayer to the technocratic gods for salvation. Living forever does not thwart zero-sum game dynamics and poor governance.
There is a solution, but it requires foresight and courage to switch focus. We must tame base instincts by correcting the broken systems that feed corruption and warp incentives. If we are going to solve AI risk, ecocide, and the “metacrisis,” we must address problems of human governance.
This problem falls on what we can call the Molochian-Sapien Continuum.
Psychologically, we will always reward ourselves as individuals first at the expense of others. This description is not a portrait of “human nature,” though. It is game theory. We are a social species, but only to the extent that society elevates us individually, plays to our egos, and infuses us with dopamine spikes. Our social nature makes us prone to building hierarchies and letting “strong men” become our saviors. That is our Molochian tendency.
Fortunately, our social nature also endows us with the potential for generosity, empathy, and wisdom. The Molochian–Sapien continuum is not hardwired in our biology or DNA but reflects how we choose to organize, build institutions, and incentivize behavior. We can opt for either Moloch or Sapien. The Moloch-leaning path amplifies the selfish, greedy, and corrupt aspects of our nature, while the Sapien trajectory fosters harmony, fairness, social cohesion, and balance.
And as long as we lean more toward Moloch, we are less likely to solve any type of crisis, much less address the “metacrisis.” The metacrisis is exacerbated because we are stuck in the Moloch.
So, what is the good news?
We need not alter human nature to move toward the Sapien position. The problems of corruption, global conflict, and dysfunctional governance are not based on some inherent flaw in humanity. Yet many continue to believe that traits like selfishness or aggression are hardwired into our DNA, as if concepts like the “selfish gene” or “warrior gene” define who we are.
In truth, our brains are adaptable, and our DNA responds dynamically to environmental influences through epigenetic mechanisms. Fixed patterns do not bind us; we can make different choices, shift our behaviors, and forge new paths. By retooling how we act and relate, we can tune our systems. This requires a conscious turn toward wisdom, beginning with a deep understanding of the incentive structures embedded in our governance systems and a commitment to upgrading them.
Solving Governance:
The Wisdom Turn
First, the gravity of the situation bears repeating: while we are stuck in Moloch, we cannot solve the metacrisis. The governance crisis is not just another problem within the metacrisis—it is the chief problem from which the others arise. AI misalignment, environmental collapse, economic inequality, cultural fragmentation, and disinformation campaigns radiate from the same core malfunction: misattuned coordination and governance structures.
This situation demands more than improved policies, electoral reforms, or minor political adjustments. Governance must undergo a profound transformation in how we structure coordination. Achieving this requires a shift away from power-driven approaches and toward a wisdom-based foundation.
As Aristotle framed it in phronesis, wisdom is practical judgment rooted in virtue. It is context-sensitive, not rule-based; it operates through discernment, not domination. A wisdom-oriented governance system is one that:
Aligns individual well-being with collective flourishing
Encourages sensemaking over propaganda and hierarchy-based dominance
Incentivizes long-term thinking instead of short-term extraction
Distributes power with embedded feedback and self-correction mechanisms
Supports emergence rather than ossification
In this sense, the problem is not simply that people in power are corrupt. The systems we have inherited structurally reward corruption and pathological competition. We need governance architectures that turn Moloch incentives on their head, replacing adversarial logics with regenerative ones.
How do we embrace pragmatic wisdom moving forward?
Polis Labs Research and Advisory Focus
We now have a unique opportunity to engage in careful, deliberate governance experimentation and to foster a shift toward wisdom. We live in an ideal moment to deepen our understanding of how we organize, incentivize behavior, and cooperate. Rapid social growth and change are underway. Numerous polities are emerging worldwide. These include network states, pop-up cities, charter cities, internet-native nations, and other new territories.
What we need now is a cultural and intellectual commitment to running safe experiments within these communities—treating them as living governance labs. These spaces serve as testing grounds for alternative models of sovereignty, identity, coordination, and conflict resolution. Within them, we can explore how sensemaking, resource-sharing, and accountability might operate beyond the zero-sum constraints of legacy institutions.
Polis Labs is dedicated to advancing governance and coordination research within these network states. We have taken a leading role in addressing the governance crisis. Recently, we conducted our first focus group at the Zuitzerland popup in Switzerland, where we posed challenging questions: Are these new systems bettering how we organize? Do they promote win-win dynamics? Are organizers staying true to their vision for the future? Can we move beyond centralization, authoritarian rule, and technocracy?
Most importantly, can we build governance structures that foster human flourishing rather than collective despair?
Our findings suggest we are on the right path, though opportunities for growth and improvement remain. We plan to share much of our research through reports, blogs, advisory statements, and open-source frameworks for use by network states and parallel societies. We aim to fundamentally reorient governance based on collective knowledge, wisdom, and understanding.
We have accumulated vast knowledge and experience as a species, yet much of it remains unpracticed. Now is the time to act. We hope our work and this article inspire others to focus on addressing the governance crisis rather than examining its symptoms or attempting to tweak political systems.
The Adjacent Possible
This moment calls for more than superficial reforms. It demands a transformation in the architecture of governance itself.
We must move beyond mere power optimization and instead cultivate systems grounded in wisdom, empathy, and long-term thinking. As Stuart Kauffman describes, evolution unfolds through the adjacent possible—a constantly expanding space of new potentials made accessible by each step forward.
Likewise, reimagining governance is not about slouching to utopia but unlocking the next layer of viable structures that catalyze cooperation, resilience, and flourishing. By reorienting toward wisdom-based governance, we begin opening doors to futures we could not previously see, yet are now within grasp.
This was a compelling and well-structured piece, Sterlin. I particularly appreciate the framing of governance as the upstream failure behind so many downstream crises. The connection between incentive structures, systemic risk, and coordination breakdowns is spot on.
The reference to phronesis, Aristotle’s grounding notion of context-sensitive practical wisdom, adds important depth to the “wisdom-based governance” concept and avoids the trap of abstract idealism by pointing us toward something both human and operational.
That said, I’m still left wondering how we make such wisdom scalable and resilient under pressure, especially when cultural forces, tribal instincts, and entrenched power structures tend to override good sense. And while I see potential in experiments like network states and digital governance, I’m cautious because many of them still run on logics of capital extraction or epistemic monoculture. The container may change, but if the code stays the same we should expect similar outcomes to manifest.
Ultimately, I believe the shift we need begins with the integrity of thought. When we lose coherence within, all outer systems reflect that fragmentation. Governance reform will have to address not just the architecture, but the deeper patterns of sense-making that shape it.
So much insight and wisdom, I don't know where to start. I love your question: "Most importantly, can we build governance structures that foster human flourishing rather than collective despair?"
My answer is YES! If you look at governing in a family situation, parents help their children thrive or not. If you look at the research regarding coercion, you see it does not lead to thriving individuals or society! If you look at starling murmurations and driving on the interstate, nature has a way of self-organizing in a beneficial way.
As humans move into our future, we are discovering what works and what does not. Thank goodness! and thanks for your post! I am inspired to continue my quest.